Leaving aside the recent wild and conflicting reports of Russian bounties on American and allied troops in Afghanistan, the Russia problem continues to bedevil us well into the 21st century. While some of it is utter nonsense, such as President Trump being a Russian asset, Russian internet bots almost single-handedly reversed an American presidential election, and other idiocy and borderline treasonous accusations, the Russian Bear remains a threat on numerous fronts, ranging from Eastern and Western Europe, North Korea, Syria, Iran, to outer and cyberspace.
Unfortunately, ever since President Reagan’s aggressive strategy of countering the Soviet aggression, American actions against the succeeding Russian Federation have ranged from confused, half-hearted to feckless. Forgiving (albeit within reason) the vacation from history that took place under the Clinton administration, and the terrorist preoccupation under the second Bush administration, the Obama administration was almost a dream come true for Russia’s geopolitical position.
The massive military cuts that took place as President Obama was finishing his first term and beginning his second, which saw pink slips going out to combat-tested men and officers, an ever heavier reliance on aging equipment, all while Russia strengthened her defenses, put America and Europe under greater threat. The loss of Crimea and Eastern Ukraine put European security at great risk, seeing parts of a pro-Western country fall under the shadow of Russia once more. During the initial stages of this, the U.S. rushed to the aid of Ukraine consisting of? Blankets, Meals Ready to Eat and other non-lethal aid, all while the Ukrainian military and militias faced off against sophisticated weapons systems, Russian special forces and tanks.
On the economic front, the fracking revolution saw American dependence on foreign oil slacken significantly, despite Obama’s best attempts to strangle the energy industry (simultaneously shoveling out subsidies for pointless green energy almost as quickly as corporations are bankrolling Black Lives Matter currently). Regulations, speechifying, and priorities were all against energy, which only played into Russia’s hands, as a large segment of her economy is based on oil and gas. This was also a betrayal of Eastern Europe, which was held economically hostage by Russian threats of energy cutoffs.
When Obama argued that Governor Romney in 2012 was out of touch regarding Russia, and saying on another occasion that he would have greater flexibility to give Russia additional consideration after the election, America’s policy was one of appeasement. This after he withdrew the missile defense system in Central and Eastern Europe, started playing footsy with the thuggish Iranian regime, all in hope of securing a grand bargain involving Russia on the Iranian issue. This was the wise and firm reset that promised greater relations with Russia. This was accomplished, all at the cost of Western security and American prestige.
In came President Trump. While his rhetoric was in favor of rapprochement with Russia, and though his stance was similar regarding many countries and what the America First strategy called for, the actions were entirely different. Following Theodore Roosevelt’s maxim of speaking softly and carrying a big stick, Trump and his administration began a massive campaign to push back against Russian aggression and dubious acts. Using both hard and soft power, the Brookings Institute (a politically left think-tank) has noted that the administration has committed 52 actions against Russia. These actions from 2017 to the end of 2019 range from sanctions, statements, expulsions of actual and potential Russian agents, a military strike against Russian mercenaries in Syria, along with treaty withdrawals, all displayed a new and a tough stance against Russia.
In addition to these actions, the military supporting the Assad regime in Syria was struck twice by missiles strikes, putting the Russian client state on notice that using chemical weapons is unacceptable, and a not so veiled threat that Russia should choose her friends more carefully. And in Ukraine, there was no more sending of nearly expired meals, instead, anti-tank missiles were sent, in part thwarting the Russian advances throughout the country. Military spending was increased dramatically, a classic act of deterrence and challenge to Russia’s upstart behavior.
In a bitter irony, Germany has undermined American and Western interests, both by supporting the now-defunct Iran deal (Russian supported) and accepting natural gas projects emanating from Russia. Trump has castigated the Teutonic nation for putting NATO in an untenable position, placing the Nord Stream 2 pipeline project on notice (putting Europe even more under Russia’s energy hammer), and the President has put pressure on Germany and other European nations who wish to allow Iran’s regime (Russian supported) to continue to spread terrorism and create more conflicts. This, all while America has unleashed her energy potential in oil and gas fields, depleting the treasuries in Moscow and Tehran in large measure.
These actions don’t do justice to the the whole picture, but they do create the beginnings of a mosaic revealing an important truth; President Trump, if a Russian agent, has proven to be Putin’s worst nightmare, since the former KGB agent assumed control of Russia’s political reins two decades ago. While there is more the Trump administration could have done, such as placing more defenses in the North Atlantic to prevent Russian naval assets from entering the Mediterranean, and the President himself could speak more firmly about Russia (the Helsinki meeting of 2018 wasn’t exactly the finest hour of his presidency), there is no question about the actions, along with their effects and messaging.
Objectively, President Trump has been by far, the toughest President on Russia since President Reagan, full stop. In fact, Trump has almost certainly ordered the military to kill more Russians the 40th President did. For all of the talk, and all of the speeches, Trump’s policy has in one form or another slowed or dislodged Russian ambitions. From militarily challenging the Kremlin in Ukraine, to stopping the war on fracking, to jacking up defense spending, Trump must go down in history as the man who turned back the soft Russia policy of the early 21st century. Let us just hope that as history is being rewritten before our very eyes, this history won’t be stricken from the annals of Twitter, CNN, the New York Times, and other anti-Trump platforms who grudgingly must admit to their frightful wrongheadedness about ‘Putin’s asset.’
Sincerely, your humble servant,
Winston Publius